QinetiQ Group: 28.95% Upside Forecast 2025

QinetiQ Group: 28.95% Upside Forecast 2025

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Publisher:Sajad Hayati

Key Takeaways

  • Jefferies reiterates a Hold recommendation for QinetiQ Group (OTCPK:QNTQF) as of October 30, 2025.
  • The average one-year price target for QinetiQ Group stands at $7.41, suggesting a potential upside of 28.95% from its latest closing price.
  • Projected annual revenue for QinetiQ Group is $1,787 million, a decrease of 7.49%, with a projected non-GAAP EPS of $0.29.
  • Fund sentiment indicates a slight decrease in the number of reporting funds, but an increase in average portfolio weight allocated to QNTQF.
  • Several institutional investors, including SMCWX and FRVLX, have adjusted their holdings in QinetiQ Group in the last quarter.

Analyst Outlook for QinetiQ Group

On October 30, 2025, Jefferies maintained its coverage of QinetiQ Group (OTCPK:QNTQF) with a Hold recommendation, according to Fintel’s reporting.

Analyst Price Forecast Suggests Potential Upside

The analyst community has set a one-year price target for QinetiQ Group shares. As of September 30, 2025, the average target price is $7.41 per share. This forecast spans a range from a low of $5.41 to a high of $9.98. The average price target represents a notable potential upside of 28.95% compared to the latest reported closing price of $5.75 per share.

📊 Projected annual revenue for QinetiQ Group is estimated at $1,787 million, reflecting a decrease of 7.49%. The projected annual non-GAAP Earnings Per Share (EPS) stands at $0.29.

Tracking Institutional Investor Activity

Analysis of fund sentiment reveals that 93 funds or institutions currently report positions in QinetiQ Group. This represents a decrease of 9 owners, or 8.82%, from the previous quarter. Despite this, the average portfolio weight dedicated to QNTQF by all funds has increased by 13.88%, now standing at 0.33%. In the last three months, total shares owned by institutions saw a rise of 2.46%, reaching 105,460,000 shares.

Notable Shareholder Adjustments

Observing the actions of other shareholders provides further insight into market sentiment. SMCWX – SMALLCAP WORLD FUND INC, for instance, holds 21,031,000 shares, accounting for 3.93% ownership. This firm significantly increased its holdings from a prior filing of 10,474,000 shares, marking a 50.20% increase. Furthermore, SMCWX boosted its portfolio allocation in QNTQF by an impressive 148.63% over the last quarter.

Conversely, FRVLX – Franklin Small Cap Value Fund reported holding 14,676,000 shares, representing 2.74% ownership. This is a decrease from its previous filing of 18,405,000 shares, a reduction of 25.41%. The fund also decreased its portfolio allocation in QNTQF by 8.69% during the same period.

GICIX – Goldman Sachs International Small Cap Insights Fund Institutional holds 7,770,000 shares (1.45% ownership), a slight decrease from its prior filing of 7,916,000 shares (1.88% reduction). However, the firm increased its portfolio allocation in QNTQF by 5.86% in the last quarter.

The Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Investor Shares (VGTSX) holds 6,906,000 shares, representing 1.29% ownership. This is a marginal decrease from its prior filing of 7,003,000 shares (1.39% lower). Despite the slight share reduction, the fund increased its portfolio allocation in QNTQF by 14.20% over the last quarter.

Franklin Templeton Variable Insurance Products Trust – Franklin Small Cap Value Vip Fund Class 1 holds 4,708,000 shares, equating to 0.88% ownership. This reflects a decrease of 12.09% from its previous filing of 5,277,000 shares. However, this fund also increased its portfolio allocation in QNTQF by 21.29% in the most recent quarter.

Expert Summary

Jefferies has reaffirmed its Hold rating on QinetiQ Group, with the average analyst price target suggesting a significant potential upside. While revenue projections indicate a slight decrease, institutional investor sentiment shows mixed but also increased allocation trends among major funds. Investors are closely watching these movements and analyst valuations.

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