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Strategy: Selling Bitcoin Only as a Last Resort

Strategy: Selling Bitcoin Only as a Last Resort

Strategy may sell Bitcoin as a last resort if its stock falls below net asset value and it can't raise capital, according to CEO Phong Le.

Quick Summary

  • reports that Strategy would consider selling its Bitcoin holdings only if its stock value dips below its net asset value and the company faces funding challenges.
  • CEO Phong Le emphasized this would be a last resort to protect Bitcoin yield per share, not a shift in strategy.
  • Strategy’s model involves raising capital when shares trade at a premium to NAV to buy more Bitcoin, increasing BTC held per share.
  • The company faces significant annual dividend obligations, estimated between $750 million and $800 million.
  • Strategy recently launched a BTC Credit dashboard to reassure investors about its debt coverage and financial stability.

Strategy, a prominent corporate holder of Bitcoin, has outlined specific conditions under which it might consider selling its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings. This decision would only be entertained if the company’s stock price were to fall below its net asset value (NAV) and fresh capital became inaccessible, according to CEO Phong Le.

In a recent interview, Le explained that if Strategy’s multiple to net asset value (mNAV) were to drop below one and financing options were exhausted, selling Bitcoin would become a mathematically justifiable measure to safeguard what he terms Bitcoin yield per share.

However, he stressed that such a move would be a last resort, rather than a change in the company’s overarching strategy. I would not want to be the company that sells Bitcoin, Le stated, underscoring that financial discipline must take precedence when market conditions become unfavorable.

💡Insight: Strategy’s approach to Bitcoin is not purely speculative; it is integrated into their overall financial strategy. Their willingness to sell BTC under specific conditions demonstrates a risk management approach aimed at protecting shareholder value.

Analyzing Strategy’s Bitcoin Strategy

Strategy’s business model hinges on its ability to raise capital when its shares are trading at a premium to NAV. The company uses this capital to acquire more Bitcoin, thereby increasing the amount of BTC held per share. When this premium diminishes, Le indicated that selling a portion of their Bitcoin holdings to meet financial obligations could be acceptable to shareholders, particularly if issuing new equity would lead to excessive dilution.

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Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings. Source: BitcoinTreasuries.NET

This strategy acknowledges the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market and provides a framework for managing risk and maintaining financial stability.

📌 Tip: Understanding mNAV (multiple to net asset value) is crucial for investors in companies like Strategy. It shows whether the company’s stock is trading at a premium or discount compared to the underlying value of its assets, giving insight of the company’s financial health.

Addressing Financial Obligations and Dividend Plans

Strategy is currently managing expanding fixed payments tied to preferred shares introduced earlier this year. Le estimates these annual obligations to be in the range of $750 million to $800 million as recent issues mature. The company plans to fund these payouts primarily through equity raised at a premium to mNAV.

Le believes that consistently paying dividends, even during bear markets, will demonstrate the company’s financial resilience and lead to a more favorable market valuation. The more we pay the dividends out of all of our instruments every quarter, that’s seasoning the market to realize that even in a bare market, we’re going to pay these dividends. When we do that, they start to price up, he explained.

Beyond the mechanics of its balance sheet, Strategy maintains a long-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin as a scarce, non-sovereign asset with global appeal. Le emphasized Bitcoin’s limited supply and its attractiveness to individuals in various countries, including Australia, the US, Ukraine, Turkey, Argentina, Vietnam, and South Korea.

✅ Key point: Strategy’s commitment to paying dividends, even in challenging market conditions, highlights its focus on delivering value to shareholders and building confidence in its financial stability.

Strategy Launches BTC Credit Dashboard

To further reassure investors amidst recent Bitcoin price volatility and a sell-off in digital-asset treasury stocks, Strategy recently introduced a new BTC Credit dashboard. The company, which holds a significant amount of BTC on its balance sheet, aims to demonstrate its ability to manage its debt obligations even if Bitcoin’s price remains flat for an extended period.

Strategy asserts that its debt remains well-covered even if BTC falls to its average purchase price of approximately $74,000, and remains manageable even at $25,000, according to the company, but this information should be verified.

Frequently Asked Questions about Strategy and Bitcoin

What conditions would trigger Strategy to sell its Bitcoin holdings?

Strategy would consider selling Bitcoin only if its stock falls below its net asset value and it loses access to fresh capital.

Why would Strategy consider selling Bitcoin if its stock falls below net asset value?

Selling Bitcoin in this situation would be a mathematically justified measure to protect Bitcoin yield per share, according to CEO Phong Le. It serves as a strategy to ensure the company’s financial health by optimizing capital allocation based on market conditions and ensuring it can meet its financial obligations without excessively diluting equity.

How does Strategy plan to fund its dividend obligations?

Strategy plans to fund its dividend payouts primarily through equity raised at a premium to its net asset value (mNAV).

What is the purpose of Strategy’s new BTC Credit dashboard?

The BTC Credit dashboard is designed to reassure investors about Strategy’s debt coverage and financial stability, especially in the face of Bitcoin price volatility.

Final Thoughts on Strategy’s Bitcoin Strategy

Strategy’s approach to Bitcoin is multifaceted, blending long-term bullishness with pragmatic financial management. While the company remains committed to holding Bitcoin as a key asset, it also recognizes the importance of adapting to market conditions and protecting shareholder value. The outlined strategy for potentially selling Bitcoin under specific circumstances reflects a disciplined approach to risk management and capital allocation.

The company’s focus on funding dividend obligations and its efforts to reassure investors through initiatives like the BTC Credit dashboard underscore its commitment to maintaining financial stability and transparency. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, Strategy’s approach will likely continue to adapt, balancing its long-term vision for Bitcoin with the realities of the financial landscape.

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